Friday, November 30, 2007

Pro-Poor Growth Is Dead -- Long Live Pro-Poor Growth!

In a new UNDP Poverty Centre 1-pager, Terry McKinley explores the differing definitions of the development buzzword pro-poor growth and how they have evolved from their early-1990s origins. The debate stems from the not necessarily aligned goals of faster growth and greater equity.



Nanak Kakwani had defined ‘pro-poor growth’ as a trend in which “the incomes of the poor grow faster than those of the non-poor”. This standard, clearly relative, looked unequivocal.

In seeming contrast, Martin Ravallion had defined ‘pro-poor’ as a process of growth that was ‘poverty-reducing’. Under such a banner, a rapidly growing economy, such as China’s, could easily qualify— despite its rapidly rising inequality.

But such debated differences proved ephemeral. When one investigates the contestants’ respective mathematics, such divergences disappear.


Both approaches seem to discount social factors in growth, although external shocks and policies can drastically affect equity in a period of growth. Others, such as Dani Rodrik weigh in on the chicken/egg debate by arguing that "growth policy is not social policy," but that growth "is most effective social policy we can think of."

Thursday, November 29, 2007

China's Environmental Problems Are Everyone's Environmental Problems

A very interesting essay from Yingling Liu rebuts Elisabeth Economy's article in the September/October issue of Foreign Affairs. Liu is optimistic that China is due for an environmental renaissance, and sooner than many Western commentators suggest.

She also argues that China's environmental problems are global not just in effect, but in origin:

It is true that many of the country’s environmental problems stem from efforts to meet the needs of a growing middle class. But China also serves as factory to the world, working aggressively to meet rising global demand for a wide array of manufactured products, from laptop computers to industrial chemicals. According to one recent estimate, more than 20 percent of China’s energy consumption is used to produce goods for export; even after subtracting the energy embodied in Chinese imports, the figure is still 15 percent.

Economy is correct in pointing out that China is now the world’s largest importer of illegally logged timber. Certainly the country’s demand for wood is soaring, exerting enormous pressure on the world’s remaining intact natural forests and putting tropical rainforests in particular jeopardy. According to a 2006 report from Greenpeace, for every two trees felled worldwide, one is consumed in China. But most of this timber is not being consumed by the Chinese, who are busy saving for their own futures; it is sought by consumers in developed countries who are able to afford elegant and expensive furnishings.

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Archbishop Desmond Tutu on Apartheid in South Africa and Israel

While a group of powerless lame ducks hammer out a meaningless agreement in Annapolis and Ghazans continue to suffer under collective punishment, Archbishop Tutu has provided some much-needed perspective on the peace process. He delivered an unbelievably inspirational address at a recent conference in Boston. You can hear and read it on today's Democracy Now.

My address is really a cri de coeur, a cry of anguish from the depth of my heart, an impassioned plea to my spiritual relatives, the offspring of Abraham like me: please, please hear the call, the noble call of your scriptures, of our scriptures, to be with the God of the Exodus who took the side of a bunch of slaves against the powerful Pharaoh. Be on the side of the God who intervened through His prophet Elijah on behalf of Naboth. Hear the plea of your scriptures and stand with the God who intervened through his prophet Nathan on behalf of Uriah against King David. Be on the side of the God who revealed a soft spot in his heart for the widow, the orphan and the alien. Be on the side of the God whose "Spirit sends us out to preach good news to the poor." Don't be found fighting against this God, your God, our God, the God who hears the cry of the oppressed, the God who sees their anguish, the God who will always come down to deliver them. Be not opposed to the God whose Spirit, when it anoints you, makes you concerned for the poor. This is your calling.


Read Jalal Ghazi's article for more on how badly the Palestinians are getting screwed by the Annapolis meeting.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Holy Macaroni! That's a lotta carbon!

The third annual World Meteorological Organization WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin is in, and the news ain't all that good for folks that like the atmosphere:

The latest analysis of data from the WMO-GAW Global Greenhouse Gas Monitoring Network shows that the globally averaged mixing ratios of carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) have reached new highs in 2006 with CO2 at 381.2 ppm and N2O at 320.1 ppb. Atmospheric growth rates in 2006 of these gases are consistent with recent years. The mixing ratio of methane (CH4) remains almost unchanged at 1782 ppb. These values are higher than those in pre-industrial times by 36%, 19% and 155%, respectively. Methane growth has slowed during the past decade. The NOAA Annual Greenhouse Gas Index (AGGI) shows that from 1990 to 2006 the atmospheric radiative forcing by all long-lived greenhouse gases has increased by 22.7%. The combined radiative forcing by CFC-11 and CFC-12 exceeds that of N2O. They are decreasing very slowly as a result of emission reductions under the Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete the Ozone Layer.

Friday, November 23, 2007

ADB to Role Dise, Pres Bhutan to Go (and develop SMEs)

The Asian Development Bank is providing $15 million in grants to the Kingdom of Bhutan to develop the Himalayan nation's small and medium enterprises. These grants will go to develop a business-friendly legal and regulatory framework in the country, as well as to develop a microfinance sector.




The country once known for establishing the Gross National Happiness index has found that the 32% of the population living below the poverty line bring down the national happiness average a smidge, particularly since the legalization of television has opened Bhutanese eyes to the outside world.

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Serving God and Mammon

Although Jesus said (in Matthew 6:24) that "you cannot serve God and Mammon," a new report by the National Labor Committee finds that many U.S.-based Christian retailers are indeed trying. And they're doing it on the backs of underpaid, overworked Chinese laborers working in appalling conditions.



Products such as the crucifixes sold by Singer Company of Long Island City, New York and bible bags sold by Christian Art Gifts, Inc. are being manufactured by workers at the Junxingye Metal and Plastic Products Factory in Dongguan City, Guangdong province. Although Chinese law mandates an 8-hour/day, 5 day/week work week and overtime pay for hours worked in excess of this maximum, workers at the Junxingye factory routinely work 14-15 hour shifts, seven days per week, with occasional marathon 21-25 hour shifts when products are being prepared for shipment. And despite a legal minimum wage in Dongguan city of 690 Yuan per month ($91.51), the Junxingye factory routinely pays workers far less - 346.67 Yuan per month. And that's before they deduct the cost of the horribly squalid room and board workers are treated to at Junxingye -- when these costs are duducted from their pay, the wage falls to$15.47 per month - just 9 cents an hour. What's more - workers (many as young as 15) are given no sick days, holidays, or even a contract.

As reported on Democracy Now, the $4.63 billion dollar Association for Christian Retail dismissed the report as "irresponsible and unfounded." However, some churches such as St. Patrick's Cathedral and Trinity Church in New York are stepping up and doing the Christian thing - they have removed these items from their gift store. Let's hope other churches and Christian retailers practice what Jesus preached, and start doing some justice unto the workers of Dongguan City.

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

State of the World's Street Children


Please note that these are not necessarily street children per se but they are children and this photo was taken in a street.
Today we commemorate Universal Children's Day with a new report on the world's millions of street children by a consortium of NGOs. The report highlights the role of violence in shaping the lives of street children, and criticizes organizations that often use street children quite literally as poster children for abuse and neglect, but fail to pursue policies that address their needs.

Five key findings underline the Consortium for Street Children's report:



  1. Street children accumulate numerous experiences of violence from an early age and in a range of environments. Their high risk of exposure to multiple abuses is consistently overlooked in policy development and service delivery for street children.
  2. Street children’s experiences in countries across the world are strikingly similar, including those in rich countries with child protection systems alongside children in poorer countries which have weaker support structures.
  3. Understanding street children’s exposure and responses to violence is key to developing integrated preventive and protective policies and services which nurture
    children’s resilience.
  4. 25 years after street children first made the international headlines, governments around the world continue to use violent tactics with street children, which contravene their rights, exacerbate their experiences of violence and scapegoat them and their families.
  5. Civil society approaches have matured during this period, introducing inclusive methods of supporting children, families and communities to reduce the risks of violence in street children’s inter-connected environments.

Monday, November 19, 2007

Cyclone Sidr

From The UN OCHA Situation Report:

Cyclone Sidr (Category IV) hit Bangladesh on the evening of 15 November. The cyclone, originating from a depression over the Bay of Bengal on 11 November, hit offshore islands at 1830 hours and made landfall across the southern coast from Cox's Bazaar to Satkhira districts at 2030 hours local time. Heavy rains were experienced throughout the country, including the capital Dhaka. The first area hit by Cyclone Sidr was Hiron Point and part of the mangrove forest Sundarbans in Bagerhat and Dublar Char Island in Barguna. According to the Bangladesh Meteorological Department, Cyclone Sidr had a radius of 500 kilometres with the eye of the storm 74 kilometres wide and wind speeds reaching between 220-240 kilometres per hour. As the storm moved
north into central Bangladesh it was downgraded to a Category II tropical storm.

Initial unconfirmed reports indicate that the death toll is over 1,500 people, with a large number of missing and thousands injured. As communication is disrupted and some areas still inaccessible, the number of fatalities is likely to increase. Three coastal towns, Patuakhali, Barguna and Jhalakathi, with a combined population of 700,000 were inundated by a five meter high water surge triggered by the cyclone.
Over 20,000 houses damaged in the two worst affected districts and at least 30,000 families affected in two reported districts out of the 15 hardest hit districts.

Sunday, November 18, 2007

Surprise! The Case Against Iran Weakens

According to a new IPS story, seizures of Iranians in Iraq have failed to produce any evidence of arms smuggling or military assistance to Shi'ite militias. These two lynchpins of the Bush Administration's rhetorical case against Iran have not been confirmed by any of the Iranians being detained and "aggressively interrogated, according to Wayne White, former deputy director of the Bureau of Intelligence and Research Office of Analysis for the Near East and South Asia. These seizures have been condemned both by the Shi'ite-led government of Iraq and by Kurdish leaders.



The U.S. military was apparently operating on the basis of information from the Iranian armed opposition group Mujahideen E Khalq (MEK) that was badly out of date. The political arm of the MEK, the National Council or Resistance of Iran, which had been providing information to U.S. intelligence on the Iranian nuclear programme and on Iranian officials operating in Iraq, published a detailed article on Farhadi Sep. 25 which claimed that he was the commander of the Quds Force Zafar Base and said nothing about his having working for the province on cross-border trade.


The MEK has been designated a foreign terrorist organization by the U.S. State Department since 1997, and the designation incudes the National Council of Resistance. But they're the terrorists we like, so it's okay to rely on them for intelligence, apparently.

Friday, November 16, 2007

Never Mind The 睾丸, It's The Chinese Punk Scene!

This Week!


This week on Dance, You Fools! For This Is Club Toasterhead!, we are exploring the world of Chinese punk rock. Chinese rock emerged in the mid-to-late 80s during the Tian'anmen Square protests, but has remained mostly an underground phenomenon due to government censorship. The lyrics range from the political to the nihilistic, and the music ranges from polished progressive to lo-fi garage music, but you will agree that it's great fun.

享受!


Thursday, November 15, 2007

How Green Is YOUR Power Company?

Now you can find out, thanks to the Carbon Monitoring for Action online database, searchable by country, region, zip code, and even congressional district. Created by the Center for Global Development, the site is intended to serve as a powerful tool for research and advocacy in combating climate change. From CARMA's "Hello World" blog entry:

Our goal is to put anyone in the world just a few clicks away from complete, tailored information about carbon emissions for any plant, any company, and any locale. CARMA provides data for all power facilities and companies, whether they are entirely coal-fueled or completely reliant on renewable energy sources. We hope that CARMA will equip millions of concerned global citizens – consumers, investors, political leaders, managers, professionals, and community organizers – with the information they need to take action and build a low-carbon future.

CARMA includes more than 50,000 power plants, 4,000 power companies, and nearly 200,000 geographic regions in every country on Earth. Users can view carbon emissions data for the year 2000, the present, and future plans. And all of CARMA’s data is updated quarterly to reflect changes in plant ownership and planned construction.


The United States is the world leader in CO2 production, with 2,790,000,128 tons annually. China is catching up rapidly, however, with 2,680,000,000 tons, three of the top five CO2-producing power companies, and the worst power plant in the world. Russia takes the bronze medal with a more distant 661,000,000 tons.

Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Sin Maíz No Hay País

January 1, 2008 will mark the beginning of a new era for indigenous people and farm workers in Mexico. On the first of the New Year, the last remaining trade protections on corn and beans will expire under NAFTA, and U.S. producers can begin flooding the Mexican market with highly-subsidized, transgenic monoculture corn. This will be just one of a series of shocks already administered since the 1994 signing of the agreement:

Since the implementation of NAFTA, ... millions of Mexicans, particularly from rural communities, have been hard hit. More than 2 million rural people have been displaced from the countryside and forced to emigrate to cities or to the North in search of a means for survival—an endless supply of cheap labor for maquiladoras on the border or low wage jobs in the United States.
...
Along with the devastation of Mexico’s rural economy, NAFTA has had a major impact on its ecology. Agrobiodiversity is gravely threatened as a small number of imported corn varieties root out the enormous diversity of corn in the countryside; and as imported genetically modified and corporate patented varieties mix with centuries old varieties developed by generations of Mexican farmers and indigenous peoples. The stakes are enormous

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Microcredit in Rural Afghanistan: Baksheesh-Kabob or Naan-Entity?

(This is why I shouldn't write blog entries while hungry.)

Following the ouster of the Taliban in December 2001, microfinance was considered one of the critical components of poverty-reduction and economic growth in rural Afghanistan. The conventional wisdom at the time was that access to credit was nonexistent among the rural poor, and a Grameen-style banking system was needed to fill the unmet demand.



However, a new study from the Afghan Research and Evaluation Unit shows that the credit picture in rural Afghanistan is far more complex than originally assumed, and the actual on-the-ground workings of microfinance institutions can be far different from how they're designed on paper:

One of the most important conclusions is that in this village demand for credit, from both formal and informal sources, definitely exists — people need consumption smoothing assistance and business credit. However, the evidence shows that much if not all of this demand is being met by existing credit products, which now includes MC products as one among many available to village residents, available from sources inside and outside of the village. A major point to be drawn from this initial case is that it is unlikely that a large and largely unmet demand for credit exists in rural Afghanistan. MC does not enter an empty financial services environment where people are willing to accept credit on any terms. Instead this case points to a rather competitive credit market, with significant access to low cost or cost free credit, in substantial amounts, matching the loan sizes offered by the MFI. Clients’ ability and willingness to opt out of the MC programme supports the conclusion that they are confident in being able to find money elsewhere, on equal if not better terms than on offer from the MFI.


One alarming finding was that the program's focus on repayment as a metric for success, without regard for conditions in the village, may have caused the program to do more harm than good:

The success of MC is often measured in relation to repayment rates. That was also the case with this MFI. However, while the case study shows people do make repayments, this is often achieved through great struggle, including depending on informal borrowing, selling livestock, going hungry and even holding back a portion of the loan to use for repayment. The struggle to repay in this study village was partly because of the marginal nature of economic activities due to the effects of drought and conflict. Even those using the loans productively struggled to earn sufficiently to support repayment. As a result, respondents tended to view the effects of MC on household economies or the village economy negatively. The lack of water in the village had a stronger effect, outweighing anything the MC programme could do.

Monday, November 12, 2007

Bono Was Right - Debt Relief IS Effective!

According to a study by Danny Cassimon and Bjorn Van Campenhout of the University of Antwerp, funded by AusAID, DFID, and multiple European development agencies, the overall fiscal effect of debt relief is better than grants or loans. Although the study, focusing on a panel of Highly-Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs), did not look at the usual metrics of growth or poverty reduction, it found some positive effects (in relative terms):



In our empirical research, we find that an increase in debt relief does not lead to a reduction in domestic government revenue collection. Furthermore, debt relief seems to perform better than grants or loans, especially in the longer run, as it seems to increase revenue collection. Also, debt relief seems to have no negative effect on the foreign component of recipient country revenues, i.e., future aid either in the form of grants and
loans. We find that countries that receive debt relief are able to significantly reduce their external borrowing in the next year, which provides support for the defensive lending hypothesis.

Sunday, November 11, 2007

The Ticking Climate Bomb in Indonesia

A new report from Greenpeace titled Cooking The Climate issues a dire warning about the destruction of Indonesian peatlands at the hands of the palm oil industry. Since 1990, some 28 million hectares of Indonesia's peatland forest has been destroyed, shattering ecosystems, removing a critical carbon sink, and releasing billions of tons of carbon into the atmosphere:

Every year, 1.8 billion tonnes (Gt) of climate changing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are released by the degradation and burning of Indonesia’s peatlands – 4% of global GHG emissions from less than 0.1% of the land on earth.

This report shows how, through growing demand for palm oil, the world’s largest food, cosmetic and biofuel industries are driving the wholesale destruction of peatlands and rainforests. These companies include Unilever, Nestlé and Procter & Gamble, who between them account for a significant volume of global palm oil use, mainly from Indonesia and Malaysia.


The report also provides suggested mitigation strategies, including a moratorium on peatland destruction, measures to combat peatland fires, and rehabilitation of degraded peatlands.

Friday, November 09, 2007

Apples ≠ Oranges

Francisco Rodríguez warns of the dangers of over-reliance on cross-national data sets and linear-regression analysis in formulating economic policy.in the latest International Poverty Centre research brief:

Many of the results from cross-country regressions are severely limited by methodological problems, ranging from issues of causality, measurement and robustness to deeper problems inherent in a one-size-fits-all model that cannot capture the real-world complexity of the development process.

There are alternative tools for interpreting the growth evidence that can help avoid such pitfalls. One is growth diagnostics, which seeks to identify the binding constraints on growth faced by particular countries at particular points in time. Another is nonparametric econometric tools, which can be used to understand the growth evidence without imposing the straitjacket of assuming linear relationships.

Wednesday, November 07, 2007

I Can Has Internenemies?

Reporters Without Borders has released an updated list of Internet enemies, commonly known as Internenemies. Surprisingly, LOLCATS did not make the list.



Egypt, on the other hand, has been added the Internenemies list for the first time, following a string of high-profile arrests and harassment of bloggers such as 'Abd al-Monem Mahmoud, and a recent administrative court ruling stating that the government could close down any web site deemed a "threat to national security."

Dropped from the Internenemies list are Nepal, which has stopped censoring web sites; and Libya and the Maldives, which have not detained any cyber-dissidents in more than a year. RSF notes that the leaders of these latter two are still considered press freedom predators, however.

Or presfredators, as they are more commonly known.

Monday, November 05, 2007

We Don't Know Jack

About migration, that is.

So says Michael Clemens on the Center for Global Development blog. Even developed economies like the United States, France, and the United Kingdom, track only a fraction of the migrant labor movement entering their borders, and have no statistics on migrant labor within or leaving their borders. This, Clemens says, is like tracking imports but not exports. The global labor market is a highly complex organism of shifting labor and remittance flows, and without accurate statistics and trends, discussions such as the recent oh-shit-the-US-economy-is-tanking-quick-let's-blame-the-brown-people debate in Washington lack meaningful context and substance.

Friday, November 02, 2007

Flush Away Poverty With Improved Terlet Technology, Says UN Official

2.6 billion people without access to adequate sanitation is 2.6 billion too many says UN-Habitat’s Executive Director Anna Tibaijuka. In a speech to the 2007 World Toilet Summit in New Delhi, sponsored by the World Toilet Organization, Tibaijuka said that access to sanitation among the urban poor lags far behind the already far-behind effort to improve access to clean water.



"Being deprived of adequate sanitation facilities is the most direct and dehumanizing consequence of poverty," Ms. Tibaijuka stated.

Lack of access to an adequate toilet not only violates the dignity of the urban poor, but also affects their health, she added, noting that the correlation between urban poverty and poor health is largely a result of inadequate sanitation facilities combined with inadequate or unsafe water supply.


Halving the proportion of people without access to adequate drinking water and sanitation by 2015 are two of the Millennium Development Goals. In an effort to catch up, the UN has declared 2008 as the International Year of Sanitation. If their efforts are successful, more than one billion people will be adding their voices to the over or under debate.

Kill Ugly Radio: Six Degrees of Frank Zappa

This Week!


This week on Dance, You Fools! For This Is Club Toasterhead!, we celebrate the career of Frank Zappa, and the many extremely talented musicians he worked with over his career, many of whom went on to form other well-known bands or continue their solo careers. Kind of like a TeleFunken U-47. With leather. Enjoy!